The champions slipped behind Arsenal into third place in the table following their recent 1-0 defeat to Chelsea.
- Premier League fixtures
- Premier League table
But despite a competitive first third of the campaign, Ferguson expects the eventual title winner to come from an elite group of two teams - presumably either United or Chelsea.
Ferguson has won 11 Premier League titles during his 23 years at the helm of the Old Trafford club.
"I had a feeling about there being a change last season," he told a League Managers' Association function.
"The top teams are losing games and more points than ever through the early part of the season.
"That gives rise to the hope that it could be a very competitive league.
"But my experience tells me that two teams break away towards the last part of the season."
However, one area which remains a mystery to Ferguson is who will claim fourth place in the table and the final Champions League qualifying spot.
"I could toss a coin and that could be my best chance of deciding who could break into the top four out of Tottenham, Aston Villa, Everton and Manchester City with all the money they have," he continued.
"That's a difficult competition in itself and any one of them is capable of doing that."
Source: DSG
